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NEWS UPDATES Asean Affairs       19  February 2011

Viet policymakers urge action on inflation and trade deficit

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Tighter fiscal, financial and monetary policies are needed to control inflation, narrow the trade deficit and stabilise the economy, top officials told the Vietnam National Assembly Standing Committee yesterday.

Consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 12.17 percent in January, outpacing the 11.75-percent rate in 2010 and the fastest pace since February 2009, according to the General Statistics Office. Throwing fuel on the inflationary fire, the Government recently announced upcoming increases in the costs of electricity and coal.

The central bank devalued the dong by 9.3 percent a week ago in a move intended to improve the trade deficit, which last year exceeded US $13.2 billion, an amount equal to 10 pe cent of the national GDP, but the move has added to inflationary pressures.

Testifying before the Standing Committee on Thursday, Minister of Finance Vu Van Ninh said that the Government would attempt to cool inflation by cutting State budget expenditures by 10 per cent, as well as by reducing the overall money supply.

To achieve the budget savings, the Government would target all non-essential construction projects, Ninh said.

"Excluding flood control and national security projects, no projects will be allowed to roll budgets forward next year if they fail to disburse capital this year," he said. "Building head offices is neither important nor necessary."

As part of the move to tighten the money supply and control overheated growth, State Bank of Vietnam Governor Nguyen Van Giau recommended to the committee that commercial bank credit growth targets for the year be reduced from 23 per cent to less than 20 per cent.

"The central bank will increase interest rates to slow credit growth," Giau said, noting that the higher interest rates would attract capital back into the banking system.

If achieved, 20-per-cent credit growth would be the lowest level in the past five years, Giau added.


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ASEAN  ANALYSIS

This year in Thailand-what next?

AseanAffairs  
04 January 2011
By David Swartzentruber      

It is commonplace in journalism to write two types of articles at the transition point between the year that has passed and the New Year. As this writer qualifies as an “old hand” in observing Thailand with a track record dating back 14 years, it is time take a shot at what may unfold in Thailand in 2011.

The first issue that can’t be answered is the health of Thailand’s beloved King Bhumibol, who is now 83 years old. He is the world's longest reigning monarch, but elaborate birthday celebrations in December failed to mask concern over his health. More

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