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NEW UPDATES Asean Affairs 1 August 2014  

Moody's upgrades VN credit rating
July, 30 2014: Moody's Investors Service upgraded Viet Nam's credit rating yesterday, reflecting its continued macro-economic stability.

The rating firm said it raised the Government bond ratings by one notch, from B2 to B1 with a stable outlook.

It also raised the long-term foreign currency bond ceiling from B1 to Ba2 and its long-term foreign currency deposit ceiling from B3 to B2.

Moody's also raised the country's local currency country risk ceiling to Ba1 from Ba2.

The firm noted that Viet Nam was in the midst of its third consecutive year of broad macro-economic stability. Although economic growth had fallen since 2012 compared to the preceding decade, the economy was characterised by price stability.

Further, it said strengthening of the balance of payments and external payments position had been underpinned by a diversification in the structure of Viet Nam's exports towards more capital-intensive manufactured goods, such as mobile phones and electronics, and away from commodities and traditional labor-intensive products, such as textiles and shoes.

Viet Nam is becoming a more important location in regional cross-border production networks for electronic goods.

"Nevertheless, its balance of payments remains susceptible to capital flows and leakages, as represented by relatively large errors and omissions in its balance of payments," Moody's said.

Combined with relatively weak imports, this had resulted in the current account shifting from a deficit to a healthy surplus. In turn, the development had contributed to the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves to an all-time high of $35.9 billion, as of April 2014, as well as the stability of the exchange rate.

Moody's said Viet Nam banking system had stabilised and risks to the Government's balance sheet were likely to remain limited. However, the firm noted that the overhang from a decade-long credit boom - as manifested in the still large stock of non-performing loans (NPLs) - continued to constrain the banking sector.

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This year in Thailand-what next?

AseanAffairs   04 January 2011
By David Swartzentruber      

It is commonplace in journalism to write two types of articles at the transition point between the year that has passed and the New Year. As this writer qualifies as an “old hand” in observing Thailand with a track record dating back 14 years, it is time take a shot at what may unfold in Thailand in 2011.

The first issue that can’t be answered is the health of Thailand’s beloved King Bhumibol, who is now 83 years old. He is the world's longest reigning monarch, but elaborate birthday celebrations in December failed to mask concern over his health. More






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