Singapore avoids technical recession as economy grows 1.4% in Q3

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Asean Affairs 16 October 2015

Singapore avoids technical recession as economy grows 1.4% in Q3

SINGAPORE: The Republic’s economy expanded by 1.4 per cent in the third quarter of this year from a year ago, the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) said on Tuesday (Oct 14), based on advance estimates.

This was down from the 2 per cent growth, year-on-year, seen in the previous quarter.

On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 0.1 per cent in the July to September period. The figure beat economists’ expectations of a 0.1 per cent contraction and avoided a technical recession – defined as two consecutive quarter-on-quarter GDP contractions – which had been widely predicted by analysts.

The quarter-on-quarter growth was also a reversal from the 2.5 per cent contraction in the previous quarter, MTI announced.

The manufacturing sector contracted by 6 per cent on a year-on-year basis in the third quarter, following the 4.9 per cent decline in the previous quarter. The contraction was largely due to a fall in the output of the electronics, biomedical manufacturing and transport engineering clusters.

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the sector contracted 3.6 per cent, following the 17.4 per cent contraction in the second quarter, MTI said.

The construction sector expanded by 1.6 per cent, down from the 2 per cent growth recorded in the previous quarter. The slowdown was mainly due to weaker private sector construction activities, according to the press release.

On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted annualised basis, the sector contracted by 0.8 per cent, a reversal from the 12.4 per cent expansion in the previous quarter.

Growth in the services producing industries came in at 3 per cent, slower than the 3.6 per cent growth in the previous quarter, largely due to a slower pace of expansion in the wholesale and retail trade and finance and insurance sectors, MTI said.

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the services producing industries expanded at an annualised rate of 0.8 per cent, an improvement from the 0.2 per cent expansion in the previous quarter.

MTI will release the preliminary GDP estimates for the third quarter, including performance by sectors, sources of growth, inflation, employment and productivity, next month.

In a press release on Wednesday morning, the Monetary Authority of Singapore announced that it would ease monetary policy slightly by slowing the pace of the Singapore dollar's appreciation.

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