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August 8, 2008

Singapore’s NOL still can bid for Hapag despite profit fall
Singapore’s Neptune Orient Lines still can finance a multi-billion dollar bid for rival Hapag-Lloyd, in spite of a 19 percent profit fall on higher costs and tougher conditions which might prompt investors to dump its shares, reported Reuters on Thursday.

NOL management said its strong balance sheet allowed it to pursue a big acquisition, but had no comment on the specifics of last month’s bid for the German group, which was put up for sale by its parent TUI, said Reuters.

Analysts estimate the group could be worth $7 billion, more than twice NOL’s $2.9 billion stock market value. A deal would create the world’s third-biggest container shipping group.

The Financial Times Deutschland reported on Thursday that NOL and a Hamburg-based consortium had qualified for a second round of bidding after two unidentified parties dropped out. It said the two remaining groups would now take a closer look at Hapag.

“Due diligence has started this week,” the newspaper quoted an anonymous source close to the talks as saying.

Speaking to journalists and analysts at a briefing, Chief Executive Ron Widdows declined to comment on the bid, but NOL said in a statement that it will invest to improve its shipping business.
NOL, 66 percent-owned by Singapore sovereign fund Temasek, said its net profit for the April-June period fell 19 percent to $76 million, from $93 million a year earlier.
NOL shares hit an 18-month low on the news, dropping more than 8 percent.

In June, banking sources told Reuters that the Singapore state-controlled group was looking to raise $5-$7 billion in loans to finance a bid.

Widdows, in his first public appearance as CEO since his predecessor Thomas Held abruptly left the group last month, stressed the long-term benefits of a Hapag-Lloyd purchase even as analysts expect the outlook for container shipping to darken further due to a weakening economy.

Trade between Asia and Europe is slowing, compounding already weakening trade between Asia and the United States.

“NOL management, who have been one of the more bullish voices in container shipping, have turned increasingly cautious on the outlook and pointed out a rebound in 2009 is uncertain,” said JPMorgan analyst Johnson Man Leung.

Quarterly revenues rose 24 percent to $2.24 billion, but costs rose faster, up 28 percent at $1.96 billion.

“The second quarter was impacted by a large run up in bunker costs and a deterioration in core rate levels in the Asia-Europe trade,” CEO Widdows said.
The price of ship fuel traded in Singapore BK380-B-SIN has risen 43 percent since the start of the year to $682 a tonne.

NOL is expected to report a 7.6 percent drop in full-year 2008 net profit to $483.29 million, down from $522.76 million the year before, according to the average of forecasts from 11 analysts polled by Reuters Estimates before Thursday’s results.

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