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August 26, 2008

Malaysia by-election:
Ruling party accused of vote buying

Malaysian opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim said Monday he was confident of winning a critical by-election despite what he has called a government dirty-tricks campaign to undermine him, AFP reported.

The opposition has accused the ruling Barisan Nasional coalition of buying votes and stoking racial tensions in an effort to sideline Anwar, who is bidding to return to parliament in a step towards seizing power.

"It shows the level of desperation and abuse of power by the Barisan Nasional," Anwar said of the bitter campaign for Tuesday's vote, and the government's focus on sodomy charges levelled against him by a young male aide.

"I am confident, God willing, we will win, but we are fighting an entire government machinery which has spent millions of dollars in an attempt to deny me a victory," he said.

The charismatic 61-year-old, who was sacked as deputy premier in 1998 and spent six years in jail on sodomy and corruption charges, said he was still on track to unseat the government by mid-September with the help of defectors.

"Yes, there are MPs in the ruling party that have expressed support for me," he told a press conference.

The Merdeka Centre research firm said Anwar was likely to claim victory in the Permatang Pauh electorate in his home state of Penang, but that the new sexual misconduct accusations were a factor in the campaign.

"I think Anwar will win," said the centre's pollster Ibrahim Suffian.

"The issue of the sodomy allegations, while it gained some traction at the beginning of the campaign, by the end had reached saturation point and won't significantly affect his chances of winning," he told AFP.

With both sides trading allegations of misdeeds and attacks on supporters, the mood was tense in Permatang Pauh, where some 4,500 police were on duty, and riot squad officers patrolled in trucks and on motorcycles.

Although most pundits expect Anwar to claim victory, the size of his winning margin will be seen as an indicator of his ability to overcome the accusations and be an effective leader of an unwieldy three-member opposition alliance.

After the March elections that handed the alliance control of five states and a third of parliamentary seats, he has to persuade 30 government lawmakers to switch sides in order to seize power.

He also needs to show he can continue to command support from across the racial spectrum in Malaysia, whose population is dominated by Muslim Malays but also includes large ethnic Chinese and Indian communities.

Anwar, who looked fresh but said he was "exhausted" by the intense 10-day campaign, said he expected to lose some votes due to the government's bare-knuckle tactics.

"If you look at the ground support, it is extremely good but we have to make sure there is no cheating," he told AFP.

The opposition has accused the Barisan Nasional coalition - which has ruled for half a century - of painting Anwar as a "Chinese agent" who has sold out the interests of Malays in his pursuit of power.

But on the streets of Permatang Pauh most people of all races said they favoured Anwar, who is running against Arif Shah Omar Shah from the United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) which leads the coalition.

"I voted for Wan Azizah (Anwar’s wife), I will vote for Anwar Ibrahim because I want the Barisan Nasional to be toppled," said Ahmad Zawawi, a food vendor. "We want a new leadership - 51 years is enough."

In a related story, Reuters reported that Anwar needs to win with a majority at least equal to that of his wife, that means a base of 13,388. In reality, political analysts say he will need a majority of at least 15,000-20,000 to show that he is a viable leader of the opposition.

Anything less than the majority won by his wife would be a victory for the Barisan Nasional government.

When he was a member of the government, Anwar won the seat with a majority of over 23,000.

The coalition partners for Anwar's Keadilan party are the Parti Islam Se-Malaysia (PAS) which wants to establish an Islamic state in the country of 27 million people and the mainly ethnic Chinese Democratic Action Party (DAP).

There has been conflict between the PAS and DAP over the issue of an Islamic state and PAS did not formally endorse Anwar as the coalition leader at its recent party assembly.

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