ASEAN KEY DESTINATIONS
At the Movies with The Hollywood Reporter (aka THR)
Sony's remake of "The Karate Kid" kicked some life into a previously listless domestic boxoffice with a surprisingly powerful opening weekend estimated at $56 million.
Completing a notable one-two combo, Fox's bigscreen adaptation of "The A-Team" debuted in second place with $26 million -- even if "Kid" did seem to pocket some of the rival actioner's coin. And displaying how a hit movie can spread boxoffice wealth to others, three holdovers marked solid sophomore sessions:
Universal's Russell Brand comedy "Get Him to the Greek" dipped just 43% to ring up $10.1 million in fourth place for $36.5 million in cumulative coin.
Lionsgate's action comedy "Killers" fell a relatively modest 48% to $8.2 million in fifth place, with cume of $30.7 million.
Fox's family laugher "Marmaduke" dropped 48% to $6 million in seventh with a $22.3 million cume.
Only Warner Bros.-distributed "Splice" failed to find second-week traction. The scifi thriller tumbled a big 61% in piecing together just $2.9 million in 10th place for a $13.1 million cume.
Collectively, the weekend top 10 fetched $141.6 million, or 10% more than top performers in the same frame last year, Rentrak said.
Among limited bows, two documentaries rung up impressive sums: "IFC's "Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work" registered $170,580 from solo runs in three markets, or $24,368 per site, and Variance's charter school film "The Lottery" grossed $17,200 from a single New York screen.
Elsewhere in the newly roused artfilm niche, Roadside Attractions drama "Winter's Bone" fetched $75,442 from two New York locations and a pair in L.A. for an auspicious screen average of $21,360. And Sony Classics' period drama "Igor Stravinsky and Coco Chanel" grossed $48,892 from two New York theaters and one in L.A. for a fashionable $16,297 per venue with cume of $153,664 including Canadian coin from past sessions.
Starring Jaden Smith and Jackie Chan, "Kid" was directed by Harald Zwart ("Pink Panther 2") and remakes a 1984 original that paired Ralph Macchio and Pat Morita in well-known roles of an undisciplined-but-gifted karate student and his insistent teacher. Production costs totaled just $40 million.
"It played so broadly," Sony distribution president Rory Bruer enthused. "We took a beloved title and made it fresh and relevant."
PG-rated "Kid" drew audiences comprised 53% of females, with 45% of patrons family moviegoers. The movie's opening exceeded prerelease projections by at least $20 million, underscoring the difficulty of forecasting family films.
Joe Carnahan ("Smokin' Aces") directed "A-Team" cast including Liam Neeson and Bradley Cooper, with production costs totaling at least $95 million. Like its small-screen predecessor from the 1980s, the movie follows special-ops exploits of a team of military vets seeking to clear their tarnished records.
Rated PG-13, "A-Team" audiences skewed 59% male, with 61% of patrons aged 25 or older.
"We have room for a lot of growth, and we're optimistic that word of mouth will spread among young people who were not familiar with the source material," Fox senior vp Chris Aronson said.
Looking ahead, two pics open wide on Friday: Disney/Pixar's 3D three-quel "Toy Story 3" and Warners comic book-inspired actioner "Jonah Hex." The former targets similar demos as "Kid," but Bruer said he views the Disney pic as an "enhancement to the market" that will help sustain robust theatrical business for other pics.
Are you watching the VIX?
Volatility Friday moved smartly to the Southside, coming down to the 50 day EMA and undercutting the lows over the past 3 weeks. Rallies often start a few weeks after volatility hits a high, and it looks like volatility has hit its high in here. Volatility usually does not follow the patterns as stocks do. From the looks of the chart it appears as if the market is trying to make a case for a rally in here. The VIX has broken the pattern of higher highs and higher lows, so the oversold bounce is likely to have some better traction.
1. VIX: 28.79;
NB: Are you watching the VIX? It always tells us when we are moving back to a more rational market.
*The Market Volatility Index (VIX) measures the volatility of the market. A recent news story described it as "the options market's gauge of investor fear." Traders use VIX as a general inverse indicator of market volatility and sentiment. High numbers mean that there's excess bearishness, and low numbers indicate excess bullishness. The VIX is updated intra-day by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), using Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) bid/ask quotes. It was created in 1993.
**The CBOE NAS Volatility Index (VXN) employs the same formula used to calculate US$VIX, which is based on the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. This formula is derived from a basket of put and call options. Some are out of the money, some in the money, and some at the money. The resulting US$VXN represents the implied volatility of a hypothetical 30-day option that is at the money.
***The VXO is the ticker created to track the "original VIX" that was calculated using the prices of S&P 100 options. The new VIX uses the ticker US$VIX and is calculated using the prices of S&P 500 options. The fundamental nature of the VXO is the same as the VIX, but it is less robust and not as simple as the VIX.
Bulls vs. Bears
This is a reading of the number of Bullish investment advisors vs. Bearish advisors. This indicator gives us a look at Bullish investors too bullish then everyone is in, and a Top is shaping up and visa-a-versa.
Bulls are at 38.5%. Falling on the last failed rally attempt and down from 39.8% the week before, and really down from 43.8%, 47.2%, and 56.0% past. This move started at a low of 35.6% in February, the lowest it has been since July 2009. 35% is the threshold level suggesting Bullishness.
For your reference The Bulls are over the 35% level that is the Key level for a Bullish climate.
Bears are at 39.9% and that is a big spike from 28.4% that indicates a rare crossover as Bears top Bulls. The Bears continues their rise from 24.7% the week before where it was holding steady for a few weeks. They fell to 18.7%, the low on this run. Over 35% is considered Bullish for the market.
For you reference a break through the 35% threshold is considered Bullish, and the Bears hit a high on this run of 47.2%. Bearishness hit a 5 yr high at 54.4% the last week of October 2008.
This is a reading of the number of Bullish investment advisors vs. Bearish advisors. This indicator gives us a look at Bullish investors too bullish then everyone is in, and a Top is shaping up and visa-a-versa.
What to expect this week and down the line…
This week is filled with a lot of economic data, i.e. regional manufacturing with New York on Monday, and then industrial production/capacity on Wednesday, then housing starts, building permits, initial jobless claims, and the CPI, leading indicators and the Philly Fed on Thursday.
Perhaps we will get another surprise out of the EU like we did on Friday. There is not much anyone can do about it, it is “in the News”, but on Friday the market looked like it had priced the EU “problems” in as stocks posted another gainer to close out the week on a high.
The consensus of the analysts that I read and respect is that they (read, we) look for this move to continue, but it may not continue daily this is options expiration week and usually there is a down day in the mix, it could be Monday. If it does happen today, it is an opportunity, IMO.
This market looks strong to me as more and more of the “good stocks” are setting up to make Northside moves as the markets move up to test the January highs in here. So from my POV I look for the rally to continue with the targets the January 19 high of 1150.23 on the S&P 500. The Rule: always take what the market gives. Have a great week!
All the best, Red
Crude Oil and Gold Focus Report w/Technical Outlooks
Gold rebounds, Crude Oil prices falls on weak retail sales in the USA
Gold futures on the COMEX Division of the New York Merc bounced Friday, as a decline in US May retail sales raised new concerns about the durability of the US economic recovery. Silver and Platinum softened too.
The most active Gold contract for August delivery climbed US$8.00, or 0.7%, to finish at US$1,230.20 oz.
The US Commerce Department said on Friday that retail sales fell 1.2% in May, which was the 1st drop in 8 months, and below expectations which called for a slight gain. The unexpected drop in retail sales dampened investor's optimism about US economic recovery, as consumer spending on goods accounts for 70% of U.S. economic activity.
The Euro touched its 1-week high vs. the USD early Friday, and fell against the USD after the government released the disappointing retail sales report.
Gold surged to a record high Tuesday and fell 1.9% in the following 2 days. The lower price and fears of a double dip recession both drove investors to purchase Gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty and volatile currencies.
July silver was down 12c, or 0.7%, to settle at US$18.231 oz, and July Platinum dipped US$1.2, or 0.1%, to settle at US$1,535.0 oz.
The Overall Technical Outlook for Gold
Comex Gold (GC)
Gold's up-trend extended last week reaching a record high of 1249.7 before retreating a bit on profit taking. With 4 hours MACD staying below signal-line, initial bias is Neutral this coming week and some consolidations might be seen during the beginning of the week. Any Southside action is expected to be contained above the 1170 Key resistance level turned support, and bring a rally resumption. A break above 1249.7 will focus on 1300, a Key level next.
The Big Picture: The strong break of thru 1227.5, the past high augurs that the rise from 931.3 has resumed. This rise is treated as part of the long term up-trend, and should now target 100% projection of 931.3 to 1227.5 from 1044.5 at 1340 next.
On the Downside: A break of the 1170 resistance turned support is needed to be the 1st sign of topping action. Otherwise, my POV remains Bullish in here.
The Long Term Picture: the rise from 681 is treated as resumption of the long term up-trend from Y 1999 low of 253 after interim consolidation from 1033.9 has completed in form of an expanding triangle. The next long term target is 100% projection of 253 to 1033.9 from 681 at 1462 level. So, I am Bullish as long as 1044.5, the Key support holds. Stay tuned...
The Overall Technical Outlook for Silver
Comex Gold (GC)
A temporary top is in place at 1254.5 and intra-day bias is turned Neutral. A deeper retreat might be seen but the short term outlook remains Bullish as long as the 1198.1 support level holds, and recent up-trend is favored to continue. A break above 1254.5 will target 1300, the next Key level. But a break of the 1198.1 support will be the 1st sign of topping, and will turn focus to 1166 support for confirmation.
The Big Picture: right now Gold's up-trend is favored to continue towards 100% projection of 931.3 to 1227.5 from 1044.5 at 1340 next.
Note: a decisive break of the 1166 support will tell me that the rise from 1044.5 has completed, and will turn outlook Bearish for retesting this Key support instead.
Crude Oil prices fall...
Crude Oil prices fell Friday due to a report on an unexpected fall in May retail sales in the USA.
The US Commerce Department reported that total retail sales fell 1.2% in May after April's upwardly revised 0.6% rise. It was the 1st decline since September.
The consumer sentiment report helped the "Greenback" strengthen against the Yen and Euro, while putting pressure on the energy prices.
A report released Friday showed China's industrial output slowed in May from April, fueled concerns that economic growth in the 2nd largest energy consumer may slow.
Light, Sweet Crude for July delivery fell US$1.70, or 2.25%, to settle at US$73.78 bbl on the New York Merc.
In London, ICE Brent fell 94c to settle at US$74.35 bbl.
The Overall Technical Outlook
Nymex Crude Oil (CL)
Crude Oil's rebound from 64.24 may be still in progress, and further rise might be seen.
Nevertheless, I am expecting strong resistance at 61.8% retracement of 87.15 to 64.23 at 78.39 to limit any upside move and to close the correction.
On the Downside: a break below 69.51, the minor support, will augur that the recovery is complete, and will flip intra-day bias back to the Southside for retesting 64.24 low 1st.
The Big Picture: the prior break of the 68.59/69.50 support zone affirms my POV that the medium term rebound from 33.2 has completed at 87.15 already, just ahead of 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 90.24. Hence, a further decline should be seen to 50% retracement of 33.2 to 87.15 at 60.18 at least. Further, the rebound from 33.2 is viewed as a correction to the whole correction that started in Y 2008 at 147.27, I still anticipate a break of 33.2 low in the longer term.
On the Upside: a break of resistance at the 78 level is needed to indicate that fall from 87.15 is completed, else I will stay Bearish in here. Stay tuned ....----Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. www.livetradingnews.com
FOREX Currency Trading
Today's Overall Technical Analysis: EUR/USD
EURUSD: Recovering with strength towards 1.2353/1.2451
EURUSD: Having triggered a corrective recovery following its recent weakness to a low of 1.1875, a look to further strength continues to build towards its June 1, 2010 high at 1.2353.
A decisive break North through there will clear the way for a run at the 1.2451 level, its May 28, 2010 high where strong resistance may be seen.
Further out, its May 21, 2010 high at 1.2671 comes as the next upside target. This POV remains valid while EUR continues to trade above the 1.2000/1.1875 zone.
The EUR looks to have moved out of a oversold zone and indicators are now pointing higher.
However, a break and hold below the 1.1875 level, its 2010 low will have to happen in order to derail its corrective recovery, and bring further weakness towards its January 2006 low at 1.1801. A violation of there will augur further weakness towards its major support at 1.1640 established in Y 2005. But, having triggered a corrective recovery, the pair now looks likely to build on those gains. Stay tuned…
Disclaimer This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. Opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are the author's own as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness and neither the information nor the forecast shall be taken as a representation for which the author incur any responsibility. The does not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. This report is not construed as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any of the currencies referred to in this report.
Archer Entertainment Media Corporation (AEMC)
Archer Entertainment co-presented the Miss Thailand World Pageant in Bangkok, Thailand, in October, where it announced at a press conference it was outlining plans for construction of a US$250 million USD state-of-the-art film studio-theme park 30 minutes from Bangkok, with hotels, restaurants and its own airstrip. Archer is building a strong brand emanating from Asia to Worldwide. Beginning as a builder of digital cinemas converted from analog, in china, it is emerging as an internet-focused entertainment-media hub, with the unusual addition of its own production and distribution activities. Several Asian and European film funds are being raised, aimed at a total of USUS$500M to begin filming its slate. Archer co-sponsored the 1st Worldwide Comedy Film Festival, in Phuket, Thailand, this past June. The company has 9 feature films in development, as well as a number of TV series, to be cast with American, Canadian, British, Australian and Asian stars and other support actors, international directors, and below-the-line staff. It is introducing getonline.com, a global database of actors, writers, directors, designers, and other personnel, initially from Asia, introducing thousands of new talent to the worldwide employment market. Preparations are well advanced for a large-budget motion picture, “Kings of the Seas,” a high-adventure comedy- drama about the 16th century meeting of East and West in the China Seas, to star actors like Hugh Jackman and Jet Li, The global entertainment market is set to explode with the growing wealth of countries like China and India, whose own films and television projects are becoming more international, if not westernized. The success of recent Chinese films, like “Crouching Tiger,” “Hero,” and others, and the huge recent hit from Danny Boyle set in Mumbai, India, “Slum Dog Millionaire,” presage success for Archer Entertainment Worldwide. www.archeremc.com
Trading at US$0.12/shr. -.08 Support .08. Resistance .12 The 50 Day EMA is .26 Technicals are overall Neutral. The recent Candle Stick analysis is Neutral
Latest News and Opinion N/A
Hythiam, Inc. (HYTM) This Company is doing good work and closing in on the answer to addiction of drugs and alcohol through its patented Prometa® therapy, a protocol that is designed to reset dysfunctional receptors in the brain to a pre-substance abuse state while integrating medical, behavioral, and nutritional components. Hythiam has 21 patents issued or allowed and 95 applications pending. Q-1 Y 2008 revenues grew to USUS$11.3 million, with 60% increase in contributions from anti-addiction services. Hythiam recently signed an Agreement with Ford Motor Corp. to offer its services to Ford’s employees worldwide. Hythiam provides comprehensive behavioral health management services to health plans, employers, and criminal justice and government agencies. In May 2008, Hythiam announced reimbursement agreement with CIGNA HealthCare for Prometa based treatment program. Its CATASYS™ Integrated Substance Dependence Solution is the only program of its kind dedicated exclusively to chemical dependence. The company also researches, develops, licenses and commercializes innovative and proprietary physiological, nutritional, and behavioral treatment programs. This market represents 180 million lives, and over 22 million Americans suffer from dependence on illicit drugs or alcohol, with only 18% seeking treatment. Direct medical costs in the US are over USUS$42B. Cocaine/stimulant addiction therapy is a multi-billion dollar market opportunity that was previously without effective treatment. www.hythiam.com
Currently trading at .175 - .05 on the week. Support .NIL Resistance .19. The 50-Day EMA is .25. There is DOJI on May 13 Technicals are overall Neutral. The recent Candle Stick analysis is Very Bullish
Latest News and Opinion Form 8-K for HYTHIAM INC
PSYS Up 21%; Confirms Offers
Hythiam Announces Peer-Reviewed Publication of Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study Study of the Medical Component of PROMETA® Treatment Program Demonstrated Statistically Significant Result on Cravings of Methamphetamine Dependent Subjects http//finance.yahoo.com/news/Hythiam-Announces-bw-2983188793.html?x=0&.v=1
Neah Power Systems, Inc. (NPWZ) NEAH has developed and successfully tested a patented, silicon-based, micro fuel cell, which recently passed 2000 hours of continuous energy production. The Company claims it will eventually replace batteries. It recently successfully completed a second round of tests for U.S. Navy Office of Naval Research, which has invested US$3 million into the Company, which expects to offer its products to the entire range of the US and global military. The self-contained fuel cell also has a large market in police, and fire departments, and other first responders, including ambulance, paramedic and emergency room personnel, as well as power solutions for notebook PCs PDAs, mobile phones, camcorders, digital cameras and other portable electronic devices. NEAH’s fuel cell fits within a notebook PC’s internal battery cavity instead of outside the computer, and uses methanol, a renewable resource, which delivers continuous untethered power. NEAH recently received a cash infusion from Agile Opportunity Fund, and also acquired SolCool One, LLC, and a leader in the solar air conditioning industry. NEAH recently announced a joint venture with Hobie Cat boats to develop a fuel cell propelled craft, and also revealed another with EKO Vehicles of Bangalore, India, to develop a fuel cell charger for their line of motorcycles and scooters sold around the world. http//www.neahpower.com The iHubbers are also talking about Neah.
Currently trading at .17 -.08 Support NIL. Resistance .17 The 50 Day EMA is .27. Technicals overall are Bearish There is a Bearish Engulfing Candle on May 14. The recent Candle Stick analysis is Neutral
Latest News and Opinion Form 8-K for NEAH POWER SYSTEMS, INC.
Zacks Investment Research Rates Neah Power Systems as Outperform, Sees $1.75 Price Target Over Next 12 Months
TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. (TOMZ). “TOMI” is an infectious disease control company, which uses one of the most powerful disinfectants known to man ozone. The Ministry of Health, in Thailand, has invited TOMI to demonstrate its prowess in eliminating pathogens in a military hospital, similar to its success in September, in a Baltimore hospital operating room, in which it killed 99.999% of all viruses, bacteria, mold spores, and pathogens. TOMI’s technology can be used against all forms of pathogens, including Swine Flu. Hospitals can be a significant hazard to sick people, and TOMI may come to be the only answer to a real problem in healthcare. TOMI remediated a high school in Brooklyn, NY after a flu outbreak, and outperformed any other known treatment method, killing 99.999 percent of all bacteria, viruses, and mold spores, using TOMI’s Ultraviolet Ozone Generators. The EPA reports that indoor air pollution is in the top five risks to public health. The American Medical Association (AMA) says that indoor levels of pollutants are between 25 and 200 times higher than outdoors. TOMI-ES has an exclusive distribution agreement with Advanced Disinfection Technologies, LLC to market their MRA Technology to over 300 Hospitals with its alliance partners. Magnetic Resolution Activation (MRA™) is a revolutionary breakthrough disinfection process that effectively kill microorganisms, is not harmful to people or animals, is non-allergic, inexpensive and convenient to use. 2.4 million people each year require additional hospital care. Hospital-acquired infections (HAIs) account for more than 120,000 deaths annually in the US. ADTec's research and development company and TOMI’s complete air remediation for all forms of disinfection for many industries, solves this problem with the ability to kill 99.99% of harmful bacteria, viruses and spores in a hospital room in 15 minutes at a very economic price. Unlike harmful chemicals, the Reactive Oxygen Species fog (ROS) does no damage to any known material. www.tomiesinc.com
Currently trading at .51 -.44 Support .44 Resistance .99. The 50-Day EMA is .70. There is a Bullish Engulfing Candle on May 14. The overall technical indicators are Neutral. The recent Candle Stick analysis is Neutral
Latest News and Opinion TOMI Environmental Solutions Demonstrates New Technology to Industry Experts
TOMI Environmental Solutions Offers 100% Financing to Its Customers
TOMI Environmental Solutions Helps Reduce a 32 Billion Dollar Healthcare Issue
On The Watch List
“On the Watch List” contains potential investment opportunities for suitable small, mini and micro cap portfolios.
Do what they do on Wall St. and not what they say; that means tune out the “Noise”.
Some folks like to buy stocks because they are upgraded, or sell stocks because they are downgraded; that’s the wrong approach. Learn how to evaluate stocks for yourself. It is not a difficult process; the steps are 1) check the volume for a buying or selling patterns, 2) recognize support and resistance levels and utilizing key charting patterns. I use www.stockta.com for my data. Knowledge is Power (and Money)
Over my 30+ yrs playing the stock market in earnest, I have learned that there are winning stocks that most traders and investors completely ignore and abhor. And when played right, these overly unappreciated issues often lead to huge gains, but it is all about timing.
There is no mystery here; you all know and/or have heard about “penny stocks” i.e. those that trade under USUS$5.00/shr on US markets (10’s of thousands of stocks trade on other world markets under USUS$5.00/shr and are not referred to in the same pejorative manner). This is just a label (designed to diminish their value and keep you away, IMO).
The fact is that there are many, many studies made over the years that prove that these stocks outperform the overall market, and when there is a steady new Bull Market, the little stocks (small caps, micro and mini caps) lead the Charge.
As a class, they are the most undiscovered and underappreciated sector of stocks and the sector where the biggest chance ends up big winners on a consistent basis. I call them Little Gems; they are indeed Wall Street's buried treasure for those who wish to go treasure hunting.
Here, in the RedRoadmaster, I work to uncover solid, moneymaking companies whose shares are grossly undervalued and virtually undiscovered, and they sell for USUS$5 or less a share.
And do not forget to always include some small, mini and micro cap (pennies and juniors) sues in your sights; they can give you explosive percentage returns like no others.
Savvy traders do not wait for the stock market to hit bottom, recover or get toppy; they do not double down or resort to tricky, desperation moves. They make simple moves on good data and bank some gains.
Do not think get rich - think get rich slowly; it works.
Even if you know absolutely nothing about how to start making a living in the stock market, and want to learn how to do it, the first step is to learn from someone who knows how to do it successfully. The stock market is about success, and the lifestyle that comes with it, but it must be done carefully, both by picking the issues and in the trading of them, because one wants to make money doing it independently and without stress.
You can’t reverse your “bad plays”. Breathe through your nose, count to 10 and move ahead. Go forward, and only focus on what the opportunities are in front of you to win in the stock market game. You do not live in the scrapbook, and always take what the market gives.
A journey of a thousand miles begins with the first step (Confucius); Download and read and study “Knowledge is Power,” my e-Book, its Free.
Always remember that we look at the risk first and decide how to manage it before ever entering a position. Yes, losses will be incurred; it is part of this and any business, and not a bad thing if they are controlled.
Again, think “get rich steady" and not "get rich quick" and think Education!The Bull is charging, and this perhaps this the best investing scenario since the early 80's. It is happening now and savvy traders and investors are positioned and in the action. Remember to always be nimble and take what the market gives.
Have a great week, and stay tuned.
All the best as the leaves turn…
PS Some of you know that I am the founder and non-Executive Chairman of Archer Entertainment Media Communications, Inc., www.archeremc.com, also that I am the Co-Founder of www.livetradingnews.com also check out www.paulebeling.com and follow me on Google News Paul Ebeling. Check it out please, let me know your thoughts. Please reply to Redroadmaster@aol.com
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