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NEWS UPDATES Asean Affairs   3 October 2013  

Southeast Asia oil bill to hit US$240b by 2035: IEA

BANGKOK: Southeast Asia's huge appetite for energy will see its bill for imported oil surge to $240 billion by 2035, leaving nations exposed to price shocks, the International Energy Agency warned on Wednesday.

The region will guzzle more than five million barrels of oil per day -- double current levels of consumption -- to fuel its breakneck economic growth, the IEA said.

Total energy demand is expected to increase by more than 80 per cent over the same period, according to the agency.

The 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations will need to invest a total of around $1.7 trillion in energy-supply infrastructure between now and 2035, it predicted.

It forecast the region would become the world's fourth-largest oil importer, after China, India and the European Union.

"Increasing reliance on oil imports will impose high costs on Southeast Asian economies and leave them more vulnerable to potential disruptions," the IEA said.

Imported oil will cost the equivalent of four per cent of GDP across the zone, with Thailand and Indonesia likely to see their bills triple to nearly $70 billion a year by 2035.

ASEAN nations are expected to slash exports of natural gas and coal as they divert abundant resources to burgeoning domestic demand for energy, in a region where roughly 134 million people lack access to electricity.

Nearly two-thirds of Cambodians do not have access to electricity, the report said, joining half of Myanmar's population and around a quarter of Indonesians -- some 66 million people.

"Coal is emerging as the fuel of choice because of its relative abundance and affordability in the region," the study said, adding there is an "urgent need for more efficient coal-fired power plants".

Resource-rich Indonesia will see its coal production surge by nearly 90 per cent as it cements its place as the world's top exporter of steam coal, the forecast said.

The IEA blamed $51 billion of fuel subsidies for cramping investment in renewable or more efficient energy sources while boosting smuggling, mainly of oil, to areas where prices are higher.

Typically introduced to help the poor, "they have resulted in serious market distortions while failing to meet their intended objectives," according to the study.

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This year in Thailand-what next?

AseanAffairs   04 January 2011
By David Swartzentruber      

It is commonplace in journalism to write two types of articles at the transition point between the year that has passed and the New Year. As this writer qualifies as an “old hand” in observing Thailand with a track record dating back 14 years, it is time take a shot at what may unfold in Thailand in 2011.

The first issue that can’t be answered is the health of Thailand’s beloved King Bhumibol, who is now 83 years old. He is the world's longest reigning monarch, but elaborate birthday celebrations in December failed to mask concern over his health. More






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