Sign up | Log in



Home  >>  Daily News  >>  ASEAN ANALYSIS


Asean Affairs   May 7, 2014

India’s OTHER Elections- Four States at the Polls

By Richard Rossow

Forgotten amidst the mayhem of India’s national election, four Indian states are simultaneously holding elections for their respective legislative assemblies. These four states include just over 10% of India’s total population. The winners of these state elections will form the government in their states. The states, their populations, and the incumbents:

State                                 Population          Voting Date                              Incumbent

Arunachal Pradesh               1.5 mn                April 9, 2014                             Congress (42/60 seats)- 2nd consecutive term

Andhra Pradesh                   85 mn                 April 30 (Telangana), May 7       Congress (156/294 seats)- 2nd consecutive term.
                                                                      (Andhra Pradesh)
Odisha                                 42 mn                 April 10 and April 17                   BJD (103/147)- 3rd consecutive term.

Sikkim                                 600 th                 April 12                                       SDF (32/32)- 4th consecutive term.

The results of these state elections will be announced on May 16- the same day as the Lok Sabha election results. Andhra Pradesh clearly dominates this group in terms of population — and has been the Congress Party’s largest source of parliament seats across the last 2 elections by a very wide margin. On June 2, a new state called Telangana will be carved out of the northwest section of the state and officially come into existence. So in essence, these elections are for five state assemblies.

Impact on Congress vs. BJP:

Congress is currently in charge of 12 states in India (if you include Andhra Pradesh, which is now under President’s Rule), compared to the BJP’s 5 states. The rest are led by regional parties.

If these state elections go as predicted and Congress loses in both of the post-division parts of Andhra Pradesh, the party may be down to 11 states- their lowest number of states controlled since 2008.  While the BJP is not competitive in these states (in 2009 the BJP won only 2.8% of the vote in Andhra, 15.1% in Odisha, 5.2% in Arunachal, and .3% in Sikkim), they may still gain if the Telugu Desam Party, a key member of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, comes to power in Andhra Pradesh. The state elections will most likely harm Congress, and may provide a bit of benefit to the BJP.

Impact on American Interests:

The typical storyline about the “rise of regional parties” is overblown. Regional parties hit their peak strength in terms of states controlled, and members of parliament, about 15 years back. However, Indian state governments can play important roles in supporting or resisting closer Indo-U.S. ties. For example:

Supporting Business-Friendly Central Government Policies: One of India’s most critical pending economic reforms- a constitutional amendment to allow a national Goods & Services Tax (GST)- will need to be approved by a majority of Indian state assemblies if Parliament passes the amendment. Having states aligned with the party in power in Delhi will help smooth this process. Other key reforms that may be attempted by the next government, such as fixing the country’s broken state electricity grids, will also need active contributions by state governments.

Creating Business-Friendly Local Environments:  Every state government has the power to create dramatically different business environments. For American investors, working with stable, business-friendly state governments can have an important impact on their operations. On the flip side, we have seen anti-business policies by new state governments damage India’s overall investment environment when they reversed positive policies or refused to honor agreements made by their predecessor governments.

Becoming Indian Brand Ambassadors:  Some of India’s more dynamic chief ministers have had success in visiting key economic partners and directly encouraging investments into their state. Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi, and former Andhra Pradesh chief minister Chandrababu Naidu have been among the most successful models. Person-to-person contact with state leaders helps infuse confidence into business and government leaders.

While attention is naturally focused on the much larger parliament election, results from these state elections can play an important role in the trajectory of our bilateral relationship.

Courtesy: This post originally appeared on the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington D.C. cogitASIA blog

Reach Southeast Asia!
10- Nations, 560- Million Consumers
And $1 -Trillion Market
We are the Voice of Southeast Asia Media Kit
The only Media Dedicated to Southeast Asia Advertising Rates for Magazine
Online Ad Rates

Comment on this Article. Send them to

Letters that do not contain full contact information cannot be published.
Letters become the property of AseanAffairs and may be republished in any format.
They typically run 150 words or less and may be edited
submit your comment in the box below




1.  Verifier

1. Verifier

For security purposes, we ask that you enter the security code that is shown in the graphic. Please enter the code exactly as it is shown in the graphic.
Your Code
Enter Code

Today's  Stories                            May 7, 2014 Subsribe Now !
• ASEAN to Advance Trade Repository Subcribe: Asean Affairs Global Magazine
• Green car sales expected to reach 10%
• Yingluck denies abuse of power in Thawil's transfer
Research Reports
on Thailand 2007-2008

• Textiles and Garments Industry
• Coffee industry
• Leather and footwear industry
• Shrimp industry

• Tourism numbers up in first quarter
• Can Tho wants investment for hi-tech agri-zone
Asean Analysis                    May 7, 2014

• Asean Analysis May 7, 2014
India’s OTHER Elections- Four States at the Polls
Advertise Your Brand

Asean Stock Watch    May 6, 2014
• Asean Stock Watch-May 6, 2014
The Biweekly Update
• The Biweekly Update  May 2, 2014

ASEAN NEWS UPDATES      Updated: 04 January 2011

 • Women Shariah scholars see gender gap closing
• Bank Indonesia may hold key rate as inflation hits 7 percent
• Bursa Malaysia to revamp business rules
• Private property prices hit new high in Singapore • Bangkok moves on mass transport
• Thai retailers are upbeat
• Rice exports likely to decline • Vietnamese PM projects 10-year socioeconomic plan


This year in Thailand-what next?

AseanAffairs   04 January 2011
By David Swartzentruber      

It is commonplace in journalism to write two types of articles at the transition point between the year that has passed and the New Year. As this writer qualifies as an “old hand” in observing Thailand with a track record dating back 14 years, it is time take a shot at what may unfold in Thailand in 2011.

The first issue that can’t be answered is the health of Thailand’s beloved King Bhumibol, who is now 83 years old. He is the world's longest reigning monarch, but elaborate birthday celebrations in December failed to mask concern over his health. More


Home | About Us | Contact Us | Special Feature | Features | News | Magazine | Events | TV | Press Release | Advertise With us

Our Products | Work with us | Terms of Use | Site Map | Privacy Policy | Refund Policy | Shipping/Delivery Policy | DISCLAIMER |

Version 5.0
Copyright © 2007-2015 TIME INTERNATIONAL MANAGEMENT ENTERPRISES CO., LTD. All rights reserved.
Bangkok, Thailand