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 ASEAN ANALYSIS

                                                                                                                           Asean Affairs October 15, 2013  


Brunei, looking forward to economic transition

BRUNEI stood in the limelight this year for holding the chairmanship of ASEAN, and the country has positioned itself well on the diplomatic stage, culminating in an eventful, though not resultful 23rd ASEAN Summit last week.

At the summit, Myanmar has been formally handed over the ASEAN chairmanship, which it will take on from January 2014 for the first time.

For Brunei, this means the nation has to look forward and carry on with its economic transition as the ASEAN Economic Community comes closer.

Three weeks ago it has been noted in this column that Brunei is currently suffering from sluggish growth. The country has been ranked last in terms of GDP growth in ASEAN by the United Nations with a growth expectation of just 1.5 per cent in 2013, down from 1.6 per cent in 2012 and 2.2 per cent in 2011.

However, a recent report by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) came to the rescue, saying that the institution expects the Sultanate to grow "by an average" of 2.4 per cent from 2013 to 2017, and after even to grow stronger at 2.7 per cent annually.

This optimistic outlook is underpinned by an anticipated recovery of the large economies in the region, particularly China and Japan.

With Japan, the main customer for Brunei's oil and gas exports, the Sultanate has struck an interesting deal at the ASEAN Summit. Notwithstanding that Japan will continue to remain Brunei's largest hydrocarbon client, both countries have agreed to foster their ties in the energy segment in a creative way.

While Japan will continue buying mainly liquefied natural gas from Brunei, visiting Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has said that he acknowledges Brunei's overdependence on oil and gas production and is ready to help the Sultanate to diversify its industry by providing technological cooperation in the areas of renewable energy and energy conservation in the future.

This can be indeed a fruitful cooperation for both countries. Since the earthquake and tsunami in Japan in 2011, the country has understandably seen an explosion of interest in renewable energy. A plethora of wind and solar projects were announced, especially in the early days after the Fukushima nuclear plants were shut down. Goldman Sachs said recently that it will invest as much as $487 million in Japanese fuel cell, solar, wind and biomass efforts.

The Japanese government, meanwhile, has set renewable targets of between 25 and 35 per cent of total power generation by 2030, by which time some $700 billion would be invested in new, renewable energy projects.

This can indeed support Brunei during its transitional period towards a more diversified economy and open totally new options for the nation's businesses.

In this context: Inside Investor has just published its brand-new investment report Inside ASEAN 2013/14, which sheds light on investment opportunities in the ten-member bloc of ASEAN.The Brunei Times



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This year in Thailand-what next?

AseanAffairs   04 January 2011
By David Swartzentruber      

It is commonplace in journalism to write two types of articles at the transition point between the year that has passed and the New Year. As this writer qualifies as an “old hand” in observing Thailand with a track record dating back 14 years, it is time take a shot at what may unfold in Thailand in 2011.

The first issue that can’t be answered is the health of Thailand’s beloved King Bhumibol, who is now 83 years old. He is the world's longest reigning monarch, but elaborate birthday celebrations in December failed to mask concern over his health. More

 


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